Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000016 0.000018 0.000020 0.000023 0.000026 0.000029 0.000033
2024-12-22 0.000013 0.000015 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000034 0.000044
2024-12-29 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000040 0.000056
2025-01-05 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000031 0.000045 0.000071
2025-01-12 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000032 0.000050 0.000084
2025-01-19 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000054 0.000100
2025-01-26 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000022 0.000035 0.000059 0.000120
2025-02-02 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000022 0.000036 0.000066 0.000147
2025-02-09 0.000007 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000038 0.000072 0.000174
2025-02-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000039 0.000080 0.000213
2025-02-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023 0.000042 0.000090 0.000272
2025-03-02 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000023 0.000044 0.000101 0.000343
2025-03-09 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000045 0.000109 0.000418
2025-03-16 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000046 0.000118 0.000512
2025-03-23 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000023 0.000048 0.000130 0.000659
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000050 0.000144 0.000855
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000050 0.000152 0.001046
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000022 0.000051 0.000163 0.001316
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000022 0.000053 0.000177 0.001722
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000055 0.000198 0.002482
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000056 0.000214 0.003393
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000058 0.000240 0.005277
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000023 0.000062 0.000278 0.009809